Shit...

[symbioidlj]

It really is down to WI and OH.

It's funny that so many of my LJ friends are in OH. Well we're in a soul-fight brothers and sisters. Let us send the vibes we need to defeat this fascist bastard. And then continue the struggle after Kerry gets in. Let us not forget that Kerry is still one of them. He's just not quite as bad...

Maybe we need to think of some sort of ritual in our respective states? Virtual drum circle and chanting? I dunno.

Because it loooks like NM is going to Bush, and IA won't matter unless it's with NM or WI... Ditto for NM, it needs to cling to IA or WI to get the points.

So that's why OH and WI are really necessary, and the way it looks in NM with Bush, I'm counting it to bush(~4000 favor of bush, but nader got 3480, and cobb 1078) What sucks is how if those two votes were together given to Kerry, NM would be turned away from Bush.

But at the same time, I want 3rd party voices to be spoken. But Nader is an egotistical asshole.

Comments

[vyoma.livejournal.com]

Bush won Ohio. The likelihood of a Kerry win there at this point is statistically extremely unlikely... something along the order of 0.05%. To put it in terms of reality, it would require the condition that more than 80% of those people who couldn't determine where they were supposed to go and vote (and thus cast provisional ballots) were Kerry supporters — and thus intrinsically different from the rest of the Ohio electorate. In other words, to assume that Kerry can win, one has to simultaneously assume that there is a link between being confused about where to vote and supporting Kerry. It sounds like an absurd assumption precisely because it is an absurd assumption.

I would be surprised if Kerry hadn't conceded by late this afternoon, and if he doesn't, then we're almost certainly going to be looking at something that mirrors what happened in 2000. I'd also point out that the Republicans have picked up even more seats in the Senate and retained control of the House of Representatives, and Tom Daschle has been unseated.

All in all, this election has turned out to be little more than a series of crushing defeats for the Democrats. At this point, they will have almost no influence upon policy in any part of the federal government for the next four years, and I expect far beyond that as well. In other words, the Democratic Party, under the leadership of Terry McAuliffe, has become irrelevant.